
Now that the music has died down from last week’s Twitter Revolution, the question I’ve been grappling with is this. Is Twitter Too Hard? (for the average person that is).
Obviously the “twits” can’t get enough (i.e. the devout followers of Twitter and incessant tweeters).
Frankly, it’s doing my head in.
I’ve already said before that at 43, I may very well be too old for Twitter. And my kids certainly think I’m too old for many things. Like walking around the house in my underwear, yelling “its good to be the king!”.
Anyway.
Back to the Twitfest.
Last week, the blogosphere nearly burst at the seems with all things Twitter. The folks at Twit HQ hosted their inaugural Developer Conference (#Chirp) and have announced to the world their grand plans for monetising the business.
They’ve also got a lot of very nervous Twitter developers, (who clearly have consumed way too much red bull), on edge, as they gently tip-toe around the “what we’re going to do/build now and what we’ll let you do/build now”.
When I was at my folks place recently, my old man said to me “Do you use Facebook and Twitter?”
He sort of said it to me in the same quiet, hushed tone as he used when he once asked me if I was homosexual. I was 8-years old at the time and thought I had a few years ahead of me before I had to face the horror of bringing girls home. Or deciding that I liked boys. Whatever.
I admitted to my 76-year old father, that yes, I do indeed use Twitter and Facebook (and even LinkedIn). It was like admitting that I once tried the whacky tabaccy but didn’t inhale.
Or something like that.
Then I realized the errors of my ways. The questions started. And I began to quickly lose the will to live. Couldn’t we talk about the hidden porn on his computer, the hidden porn on mine. Or anything in between.
I just didn’t have the energy.
Which brings me neatly to my point.
There are a lot of very smart, very committed folks carving out a whole new niche and industry with Twitter. Its the next big thing, by all accounts.

These same folks then admitted that Twitter had surpassed the 100M user mark, with on average, 300,000 new registrations a day. That’s 9M a freaking month. NINE MILLION!
As a comparison, GMail has 167M users (if you believe the Wikipedia entry). At Twitters run rate, they’ll be neck and neck with Google’s GMail numbers by the end of the year.
Facebook on the other hand has 350M users globally. But they brag about “active users” rather than total numbers, which I think is the correct way to brag, if you’re going to do it all.
Anyway, my concern is this.
Perhaps 10% of the community get Twitter. That’s 10% of the people who regularly surf the web, have a couple of email accounts, know what Facebook is, have created a LinkedIn profile etc etc. Argue with me all you want about what you think this figure might be. But lets agree – it wont be large.
If you don’t believe me, try this. Next weekend, when you’re sitting down for dinner with friends, summons the courage to ask everyone if they have a Twitter account. Then ask them if they have actually “tweeted” about something meaningful. Then really tip them over the edge and ask anyone if they know what the whole point to Twitter is.
Wait for the drivel.
Trust me, you’ll be looking for anything to distract you at this point. You’ll throw your keys into the fruitbowl and your best friends wife wont look that bad after all. Talking about Twitter in a social setting will do more than test your sense of humour.
You’ll be told to go and sit in the car. Happens to me all the time.
When I first saw Twitter back in 2007, I was in the US at a Web 2.0 conference. The original post is here.
People were “tweeting” and attendees at the conference could see live tweets appear on centrally mounted plasma screens. I walked past the screens a few times and kept wondering what all the fuss was about.
But the assumption was this. The geeks assumed that all the non-geeks knew how to actually tweet (or even understand what Twitter was for). How do I send a direct message, follow someone, create a list, or create an account? And how do I customise the home-page?
And even if they did create an account, did they do it knowing full well what the hell they were signing up to? And what would they make of watching live “tweets” unfold before their eyes – about all matter of useless subjects and snippets of information.
Bigger still – what would THEY tweet about?
A lot of my friends don’t have Twitter accounts. Safe to say all of my parents and their friends don’t have Twitter accounts (heaven forbid).
Randy Rupert apparently just started using email. And according to some, has never even used a search engine. He must think Twitter is for the mentally unhinged.
But the problem maybe more fundamental. People like Rupert have got the gold. And in the days of the old media empire, the people with the gold got to make the rules. Thankfully, the web doesn’t play by these rules any more. Which must be giving old Rupert the complete shits. Which is indeed, most excellent!
However, tin-pot old tyrants like Murdoch still wield a lot of power. It’s a dilemma all the new media organisations are grappling with – and that is, how do we play in the same sand pit without it turning into an all in brawl?
One of the smartest marketers I had the good fortune of meeting is Alex Mandossian. He’s passionate about teaching his students and clients about “consumption of content”.
As a business, I think companies like Google (and now Twitter) have failed in teaching us (the average guy on the street) how to actually consume their content. You might think Google didn’t have to. People were going to sign-up in droves when they realised the power of targeted search and the results it could bring.
Scoff all you like though. Google’s mainstream (now). Google’s enterprise (now). Google has armies of specialists, agencies, media organizations and trained individuals who will help you spend money via Adwords (now).
Marketing Directors at Fortune 500 companies don’t have to sweat getting to know how to set-up an Adwords account (anymore). They have people to do that. And no doubt, the same sort of specialist skills will appear around Twitter.
But Google is working like mad now to backfill all the sales, marketing and customer service positions it needs to cater essentially for the corporate market. It wasn’t always this way.
But to engage with Twitter, you have to “drive” yourself. You have to learn how to steer, to engage, to interract. Ultimately, you can’t pass the buck with Twitter. You’re 100% accountable.
Some of you might think after a week of “twittering” that you can’t be stuffed anymore. Even if it is like “texting for the web”.
Maybe the geeks think that the tidal wave of momentum will carry the day. But someone has to teach the 300,000 people a day who just showed up how to consume all that Twitter has to offer. And to make it stick. And to ensure enough of the 300,000 twitter sheep hang around and keep doing stuff.
I think the Twitter movement is just getting started. 70,000 apps already, 100M plus users, billions of tweets a quarter. It doesnt get any more impressive.
Forget about Steve Ballmer at Microsoft throwing a chair at the fact that he can’t get a piece of the action. Eric at Google must be burning shit down at the thought that Evan et al wont let him play. Not just yet anyway.
But for Twitter to survive long-term, I think it has to be able to withstand life outside of the incubator (ie the early adopters). Twitter’s traction is clearly going to come from mobile. Forget the black and white web. Mobile is where its’ at.
In Asia, not everyone may have a desktop or a PC. But mobile penetration rates are some of the highest in the world. In Singapore for example, mobile penetration is at 130%. Meaning that there are 6-million registered handsets but only 5-million people.
Countries like China are bypassing the old landline infrastructure. Too slow to install and scale, too expensive, and simply too old fashioned.
My humble opinion is that in the not too distant future, applications like Twitter will be far more important to you than you realise. From your mobile. And not via any other means.
Maybe the dilemma around Twitter is in my head. Maybe I shouldn’t be too concerned. After all, everyone worked out how to use “the Google”. Even George Dubya.
But. And it’s a big but. If any of you have tried to teach your parents how to use their current mobile, good luck at trying to teach them how to Tweet.
I don’t know how much more of this I can take…